Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 12.892290 14.660571 16.535668 18.667159 21.017799 23.525844 26.398999
2025-01-26 10.622166 13.101999 15.902443 19.279337 23.220016 27.651983 32.991119
2025-02-02 9.451242 12.527217 16.196836 20.849597 26.540064 33.219565 41.594810
2025-02-09 8.214444 11.657846 15.982560 21.724039 29.048112 37.974948 49.562515
2025-02-16 6.917276 10.499846 15.229761 21.790006 30.493893 41.475044 56.182110
2025-02-23 5.718377 9.280589 14.219912 21.365070 31.203429 44.020513 61.685708
2025-03-02 4.803621 8.314961 13.416009 21.090479 32.023332 46.684971 67.415755
2025-03-09 4.151163 7.634322 12.918094 21.157054 33.257938 49.907730 73.982696
2025-03-16 3.538272 6.918366 12.272192 20.918953 33.999635 52.444407 79.685863
2025-03-23 3.283200 6.751390 12.441126 21.892590 36.528396 57.565513 89.149875
2025-03-30 2.917755 6.336712 12.160919 22.127819 37.942934 61.130629 96.535417
2025-04-06 2.421907 5.606367 11.271999 21.300724 37.655349 62.167919 100.296306
2025-04-13 1.983883 4.921742 10.397455 20.440851 37.291147 63.123880 104.071039
2025-04-20 1.855092 4.835945 10.577307 21.371758 39.839195 68.590234 114.748056
2025-04-27 1.857159 5.025781 11.280567 23.257600 44.043843 76.769932 129.797396
2025-05-04 1.755465 4.973236 11.517319 24.327151 46.941748 83.022899 142.127713
2025-05-11 1.562274 4.680832 11.256019 24.469643 48.273512 86.849966 150.852517
2025-05-18 1.338631 4.273541 10.716260 24.044826 48.591570 89.050351 157.102172
2025-05-25 1.158645 3.936928 10.278991 23.768139 49.134242 91.611470 163.976092
2025-06-01 1.031231 3.710064 10.045235 23.857361 50.314081 95.237851 172.627068
2025-06-08 0.894949 3.429306 9.658078 23.604320 50.847287 97.790672 179.610483
2025-06-15 0.860726 3.435141 9.919722 24.684506 53.882849 104.657529 193.798424
2025-06-22 0.778942 3.281763 9.793314 24.947703 55.396922 108.973739 203.912152